Pre-tourney Rankings
Cal St. Northridge
Big West
2011-12
Overall
Predictive Rating-9.7#305
Expected Predictive Rating-10.8#313
Pace74.0#41
Improvement+3.7#50

Offense
Total Offense-2.9#248
Improvement+5.1#18

Defense
Total Defense-6.8#330
Improvement-1.4#236
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2011 219   @ USC L 59-66 17%     0 - 1 -6.7 -11.2 +5.0
  Nov 15, 2011 210   @ Hawaii L 67-86 16%     0 - 2 -18.0 -18.0 +3.1
  Nov 19, 2011 134   @ Boise St. L 61-103 8%     0 - 3 -36.3 -14.8 -18.2
  Nov 26, 2011 130   @ Drake L 49-73 8%     0 - 4 -18.1 -22.5 +6.2
  Nov 30, 2011 251   Cal St. Bakersfield L 67-74 46%     0 - 5 -15.7 -9.8 -6.1
  Dec 03, 2011 289   @ Santa Clara L 58-71 30%     0 - 6 -17.2 -20.2 +2.9
  Dec 10, 2011 287   @ Pepperdine W 73-70 29%     1 - 6 -1.0 +11.1 -11.6
  Dec 22, 2011 67   @ Washington L 51-74 4%     1 - 7 -12.4 -22.2 +12.2
  Dec 29, 2011 241   UC Irvine L 62-71 43%     1 - 8 0 - 1 -17.0 -13.7 -3.3
  Jan 02, 2012 268   @ UC Riverside W 63-52 25%     2 - 8 1 - 1 +8.2 +2.5 +7.2
  Jan 07, 2012 39   Long Beach St. L 68-81 7%     2 - 9 1 - 2 -6.4 -5.8 +0.1
  Jan 12, 2012 271   Pacific L 59-79 50%     2 - 10 1 - 3 -29.7 -21.5 -7.4
  Jan 14, 2012 322   UC Davis W 84-80 72%     3 - 10 2 - 3 -11.7 +3.1 -14.8
  Jan 19, 2012 110   @ UC Santa Barbara L 61-69 6%     3 - 11 2 - 4 -0.5 -11.5 +11.2
  Jan 21, 2012 172   @ Cal Poly L 54-100 12%     3 - 12 2 - 5 -42.9 -17.8 -25.6
  Jan 26, 2012 163   Cal St. Fullerton L 68-70 26%     3 - 13 2 - 6 -5.0 -5.8 +0.6
  Jan 28, 2012 251   @ Cal St. Bakersfield W 76-68 23%     4 - 13 +6.1 +0.7 +5.5
  Feb 02, 2012 110   UC Santa Barbara L 70-85 16%     4 - 14 2 - 7 -14.3 -0.4 -14.9
  Feb 04, 2012 39   @ Long Beach St. L 67-75 3%     4 - 15 2 - 8 +5.4 -0.6 +6.0
  Feb 09, 2012 322   @ UC Davis L 71-79 47%     4 - 16 2 - 9 -16.9 -6.3 -10.7
  Feb 11, 2012 271   @ Pacific L 61-62 26%     4 - 17 2 - 10 -3.9 +2.3 -6.5
  Feb 15, 2012 172   Cal Poly W 94-81 28%     5 - 17 3 - 10 +9.3 +19.4 -9.9
  Feb 18, 2012 177   Fresno St. L 49-62 29%     5 - 18 -17.1 -22.7 +4.9
  Feb 22, 2012 268   UC Riverside L 61-63 50%     5 - 19 3 - 11 -11.6 -7.9 -3.8
  Feb 25, 2012 241   @ UC Irvine L 85-94 OT 21%     5 - 20 3 - 12 -10.2 -3.0 -5.5
  Feb 29, 2012 163   @ Cal St. Fullerton L 76-87 11%     5 - 21 3 - 13 -7.2 +2.1 -9.4
Projected Record 5.0 - 21.0 3.0 - 13.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big West Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 100.0 100.0 8th
9th 9th
Total 100.0 Total



Big West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13 100.0% 100.0
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%